European stocks are expected to slip a tad, with EuroStoxx 50 futures down 0.3 per cent and FTSE futures shedding 0.4 per cent.
MSCI’s gauge of Asian ex-Japan shares slipped 0.2 per cent, dragged lower by profit-taking in resource shares as some investors have grown wary of stretched valuations.
“The global economy appears to be losing momentum a bit and there is no clear sign yet that COVID-19 infections are slowing even after vaccinations have started in some places. I expect shares to get stuck in a range for a while,” said Hisashi Iwama, senior portfolio manager at Asset Management One.
But the tech sector remained a bright spot after Microsoft’s earnings lifted Nasdaq futures 0.5 per cent while Japan’s Nikkei also rose 0.3 per cent.
Microsoft shares rose 3.7 per cent in extended trading after its Azure cloud computing services grew 50 per cent, boosting optimism for other US tech giants, including Apple and Facebook , which announce quarterly results later in the day.
“Microsoft’s earnings were superb, even compared with strong market expectations,” said Norihiro Fujito, chief investment strategist at Mitsubishi UFJ Morgan Stanley Securities.
“Those tech firm shares have been in a bit of the doldrums since August but they are likely to lead the market again, given their solid outlook,” he said.
At their peak in August, the combined market capitalisation of the top five biggest US tech companies, which also include Amazon and Alphabet, reached 24.6 per cent of the US blue chip S&P500 index. It stood at 22.7 per cent, still well above 15 per cent two years ago.
S&P500 futures were mostly flat, capped by caution ahead of the Fed‘s policy meeting as well as profit-taking on cyclical shares after stellar gains this month.
The S&P500 is now trading at 22.7 times its expected earnings, near its September peak of 23.1 times, which was its most inflated level since the dotcom bubble in 2000.
A surge in shares of video games company Gamestop driven by retail investors also raised some concerns that a rally propelled by loads of stimulus money from governments and central banks has become extreme.
Still, analysts expect the US Federal Reserve to stick to its dovish tone to help speed the economic recovery when it concludes its two-day policy meeting on Wednesday.
US stimulus talks are also in focus with US Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer saying Democrats will move forward on President Joe Biden’s $1.9 trillion coronavirus relief plan without Republican support if necessary.
Benchmark 10-year notes were yielding 1.035 per cent, having hit a three-week low of 1.028 per cent on Tuesday on rising speculation Biden may have to scale back and possibly delay his ambitious stimulus plan.
The US dollar was little moved as investors awaited the Fed’s decision for clues on whether they should buy riskier currencies.
The dollar index flirted with this week’s low at 90.204, while the euro held firm at $1.2161.
Sterling rose to as high as $1.3753, a level last seen in May 2018 while the Japanese yen changed hands at 103.70 per dollar.
The Australian dollar slipped 0.1 per cent to $0.7739, showing muted response to stronger-than-expected local inflation data.
Oil prices were supported by economic optimism, with US crude futures trading up 0.6 per cent at $52.95 per barrel.
The International Monetary Fund raised its forecast for global growth in 2021, as widely expected, and many investors expect the global economic recovery from the pandemic-driven downturn to continue.